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	<title>Comments on: Pat Robertson&#039;s failed prediction and supernatural explanations</title>
	<atom:link href="http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/</link>
	<description>An independent blog about intelligent design</description>
	<pubDate>Thu, 08 Jan 2009 07:41:48 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: Dan</title>
		<link>http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-173864</link>
		<dc:creator>Dan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 19 Jan 2008 14:54:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-173864</guid>
		<description>"The design specifications are suggested by biological structures."

So you rationalize.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#034;The design specifications are suggested by biological structures.&#034;</p>
<p>So you rationalize.</p>
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		<title>By: Bradford</title>
		<link>http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-173820</link>
		<dc:creator>Bradford</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Jan 2008 19:51:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-173820</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;Dan: You don't know anything about the design specifications, and can rationalize any sort of design you want.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

The design specifications are suggested by biological structures.  Living organisms and physical laws constrain empirical claims about design.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Dan: You don&#039;t know anything about the design specifications, and can rationalize any sort of design you want.</p></blockquote>
<p>The design specifications are suggested by biological structures.  Living organisms and physical laws constrain empirical claims about design.</p>
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		<title>By: Dan</title>
		<link>http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-173786</link>
		<dc:creator>Dan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Jan 2008 14:21:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-173786</guid>
		<description>Yes, but they're also rationalizations, are they not?  You don't know anything about the design specifications, and can rationalize &lt;em&gt;any&lt;/em&gt; sort of design you want.  I could falsify any particular pattern as being proof of God, and you still would be playing the rationalization out that it must be some other type of design.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yes, but they&#039;re also rationalizations, are they not?  You don&#039;t know anything about the design specifications, and can rationalize <em>any</em> sort of design you want.  I could falsify any particular pattern as being proof of God, and you still would be playing the rationalization out that it must be some other type of design.</p>
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		<title>By: Bradford</title>
		<link>http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-173784</link>
		<dc:creator>Bradford</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Jan 2008 13:55:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-173784</guid>
		<description>Dan
&lt;blockquote&gt;Are you saying that your arguments for design aren't rationalizations???&lt;/blockquote&gt;

That's right.  They're arguments for evidence of design.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dan</p>
<blockquote><p>Are you saying that your arguments for design aren&#039;t rationalizations???</p></blockquote>
<p>That&#039;s right.  They&#039;re arguments for evidence of design.</p>
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		<title>By: Dan</title>
		<link>http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-173781</link>
		<dc:creator>Dan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Jan 2008 12:51:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-173781</guid>
		<description>Bradford,
Are you saying that your arguments for design &lt;em&gt;aren't&lt;/em&gt; rationalizations???  What are they then?  </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bradford,<br />
Are you saying that your arguments for design <em>aren&#039;t</em> rationalizations???  What are they then?</p>
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		<title>By: Bradford</title>
		<link>http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-173753</link>
		<dc:creator>Bradford</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Jan 2008 21:39:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-173753</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;Dan: (My apologies for droning on, but I think it related to Robertson's case. You see, I think it fair to say that Pat Robertson's rationalizations are based on the same mistaking of opinion/scripture for empirical fact as that which Bradford is espousing.) &lt;/blockquote&gt;

That's stereotypical thinking but hard to document based on TT comments.  I may be wrong about some things but my reasons reference causes and biological systems.  Robertson's predictions were purely personal in nature.  They were not even derived from the scriptural doctrines he says he believes.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Dan: (My apologies for droning on, but I think it related to Robertson&#039;s case. You see, I think it fair to say that Pat Robertson&#039;s rationalizations are based on the same mistaking of opinion/scripture for empirical fact as that which Bradford is espousing.) </p></blockquote>
<p>That&#039;s stereotypical thinking but hard to document based on TT comments.  I may be wrong about some things but my reasons reference causes and biological systems.  Robertson&#039;s predictions were purely personal in nature.  They were not even derived from the scriptural doctrines he says he believes.</p>
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		<title>By: Deuce</title>
		<link>http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-173732</link>
		<dc:creator>Deuce</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Jan 2008 18:59:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-173732</guid>
		<description>bipod:
&lt;blockquote&gt;The best conclusion to draw from this series of events is that Robertson is full of bullshit when he claims to be speaking for his god and that the next time he makes a prediction, no one should take him seriously.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Yep, and I'm sure Ed would agree, which is why he's wrong when he says that supernatural explanations are categorically untestable. If that were true, we wouldn't be able to conclude anything from Pat Robertsons, um, less-than-substantiated track record. But, obviously we &lt;em&gt;can&lt;/em&gt; conclude that he's a quack who simply pulled his predictions, which have no supernatural inspiration, from out the wrong end.

The mere fact that something can be rationalized by a determined enough person doesn't mean it isn't testable. Humans can rationalize literally anything, especially if they're not altogether there. That &lt;a href="http://www.timecube.com" rel="nofollow"&gt;this person&lt;/a&gt; exists is evidence enough of that.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>bipod:</p>
<blockquote><p>The best conclusion to draw from this series of events is that Robertson is full of bullshit when he claims to be speaking for his god and that the next time he makes a prediction, no one should take him seriously.</p></blockquote>
<p>Yep, and I&#039;m sure Ed would agree, which is why he&#039;s wrong when he says that supernatural explanations are categorically untestable. If that were true, we wouldn&#039;t be able to conclude anything from Pat Robertsons, um, less-than-substantiated track record. But, obviously we <em>can</em> conclude that he&#039;s a quack who simply pulled his predictions, which have no supernatural inspiration, from out the wrong end.</p>
<p>The mere fact that something can be rationalized by a determined enough person doesn&#039;t mean it isn&#039;t testable. Humans can rationalize literally anything, especially if they&#039;re not altogether there. That <a href="http://www.timecube.com" rel="nofollow">this person</a> exists is evidence enough of that.</p>
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		<title>By: Dan</title>
		<link>http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-173640</link>
		<dc:creator>Dan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Jan 2008 13:45:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-173640</guid>
		<description>Accuracy isn't part of science - accuracy implies a target.  Science is more about precision, which is not the same thing (it implies reproducibility and consistency of results).

But yes, if telic explanations are ever found to explain an experimental result better than non-telic explanations, then &lt;em&gt;those&lt;/em&gt; explanations will be more parsimonious.  Until then....

(My apologies for droning on, but I think it related to Robertson's case.  You see, I think it fair to say that Pat Robertson's rationalizations are based on the same mistaking of opinion/scripture for empirical fact as that which Bradford is espousing.)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Accuracy isn&#039;t part of science - accuracy implies a target.  Science is more about precision, which is not the same thing (it implies reproducibility and consistency of results).</p>
<p>But yes, if telic explanations are ever found to explain an experimental result better than non-telic explanations, then <em>those</em> explanations will be more parsimonious.  Until then&#8230;.</p>
<p>(My apologies for droning on, but I think it related to Robertson&#039;s case.  You see, I think it fair to say that Pat Robertson&#039;s rationalizations are based on the same mistaking of opinion/scripture for empirical fact as that which Bradford is espousing.)</p>
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		<title>By: Bradford</title>
		<link>http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-173553</link>
		<dc:creator>Bradford</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Jan 2008 21:21:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-173553</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;Dan: Correct, it doesn't eliminate all unempirical base assumptions, just the God assumption. As I said, eliminating such an assumption is more parsimonious, and at least as precise in explanatory capacity. &lt;/blockquote&gt;

Parsimony is secondary to accuracy in desireability.  Eliminating the possibility of teleology does not serve the interest of reality when teleology is indicated.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Dan: Correct, it doesn&#039;t eliminate all unempirical base assumptions, just the God assumption. As I said, eliminating such an assumption is more parsimonious, and at least as precise in explanatory capacity. </p></blockquote>
<p>Parsimony is secondary to accuracy in desireability.  Eliminating the possibility of teleology does not serve the interest of reality when teleology is indicated.</p>
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		<title>By: valerie</title>
		<link>http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-173539</link>
		<dc:creator>valerie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Jan 2008 13:16:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-173539</guid>
		<description>bipod,

&lt;a href="http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-171790" rel="nofollow"&gt;I beat you to it&lt;/a&gt;:
&lt;blockquote&gt;Having said all that, let's agree on the main lesson here: Pat Robertson is a wingnut. &lt;/blockquote&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>bipod,</p>
<p><a href="http://telicthoughts.com/pat-robertsons-failed-prediction-and-supernatural-explanations/#comment-171790" rel="nofollow">I beat you to it</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Having said all that, let&#039;s agree on the main lesson here: Pat Robertson is a wingnut. </p></blockquote>
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